Harold Continues To Weaken With Surface Low Expected To Dissipate By Late Today

Remnants Of

Tropics Forecast Cone at 9:57 Wednesday Morning, August 23rd

Location 155 miles SE of El Paso Texas
Wind 25 mph
Heading NW at 24 mph
Pressure 29.83
Coordinates 104.4W, 30.4N

Discussion

At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the remnants of Harold were located near latitude 30.4 North, longitude 104.4 West. The remnants are moving toward the northwest near 24 mph (39 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today. The surface low is forecast to become increasingly ill-defined, eventually being absorbed into a thermal trough situated from northern Mexico into New Mexico. This process make the surface reflection of Harold difficult to track beyond this evening. Therefore, this will be the final advisory.

Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).

Tropics Satellite at 4:44 Wednesday Afternoon, August 23rd

Watches and Warnings

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Flood Watch is in effect across portions of the Trans-Pecos and Big Bend regions of Texas. A small Flood Watch is in effect in the vicinity of Ruidoso, New Mexico.

Interests in Southwestern U.S. And northern Mexico should continue to monitor the progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.

Tropics Models at 3:06 Wednesday Afternoon, August 23rd

Land Hazards

Key messages for Harold can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header TCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KWNH and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov.

RAINFALL: Harold is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated storm totals of 4 inches across Trans Pecos region of Texas today, mainly west of the Big Bend. Isolated to widely scattered instances of flash flooding are possible.

In far northern Mexico, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with local amounts of 4 inches are expected through today across northern portions of Chihuahua. Isolated instances of flash flooding are expected with landslides possible.

WIND: Winds could be particularly gusty in and near areas of elevated terrain across far northern Mexico and west Texas through Wednesday. Higher gusts could persist even after the surface system dissipates.