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Hot & quiet this week. So, when is our average ‘first front’?

We’re likely still weeks away from any relief

Heat high is taking over this week (Copyright 2025 by KSAT - All rights reserved.)

FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS

  • HEAT HIGH: As it settles it, we’re in for a hot & quiet week
  • TRIPLE DIGITS: Possible, especially for the second half of the week
  • FIRST FRONT: Average ‘first front’ not until late September
  • RAIN: Small chances Wednesday afternoon (10%), then Sunday into early next week (10%-20%)

FORECAST

We’ve had a more tolerable summer, so far, in 2025. That said, we’re headed into a very typical summer pattern: hot and humid with only small rain chances.

HEAT HIGH & TRIPLE DIGITS

The heat high, while not directly overhead, will be nearby. That means we’ll see a generally rain-free week and temperatures in the upper-90s, if not at 100. Heat index values will climb above 100 for several hours each afternoon.

Near 100 for a while. (Copyright 2024 by KSAT - All rights reserved.)

RAIN CHANCES

A few small opportunities for rain will enter the picture, but most showers will be closer to the Gulf Coast. One or two could near San Antonio tomorrow afternoon, but don’t plan on much - if anything. Then a weak upper disturbance could trigger a few showers Sunday into early next week, but as of now, we don’t have any notable atmospheric features to bring meaningful rain.

Small rain chances at 10%-20%. (Copyright 2024 by KSAT - All rights reserved.)

FIRST FRONT?

This is somewhat hard to quantify, but if you use the threshold of our first day with a low temperature under 65°, a high temperature under 90°, and a dewpoint that drops below 60°, then the average is sometime in late September. That’s using data from the last decade. All of this to say, we’ve likely got a while longer before we get any relief. Sorry to be the bearer of bad news!

Average first front, using data from the last decade, is around late September (Copyright 2025 by KSAT - All rights reserved.)

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