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LATEST UPDATE: Flash flooding risk late this weekend

Highest rain chances Sunday evening into Monday

Latest trends favor heavy rain Sunday evening into Monday, but keep in mind this timeline will be modified in the days ahead. (Copyright 2024 by KSAT - All rights reserved.)

FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS

  • TEMPS SOAR: Triple digits tomorrow
  • LORENA’S MOISTURE: Surges into Texas over the weekend
  • HEAVY RAIN: Odds highest Sunday evening into Monday somewhere in South-Central Texas.

FORECAST

Before our rain chances increase, it’s important to note that temperatures will soar the next few days with sunny and dry conditions.

TRIPLE DIGITS

Triple digits Thursday, then not as hot when rain chances rise Sunday into Monday. (Copyright 2024 by KSAT - All rights reserved.)

HURRICANE LORENA & WEEKEND RAIN

Hurricane Lorena in the Pacific will hit the Baja Peninsula on Friday, then the leftover tropical moisture and rain-making energy should move into Texas. This increases our potential for heavy rainfall Sunday evening into Monday. The timing and exact location of the heaviest rain is still uncertain, but we could easily see localized bullseyes of 5″ or more.

Hurricane Lorena likely to weaken as it approaches the Baja Peninsula, then the remnant rain-making energy and moisture will move into Texas. (Copyright 2024 by KSAT - All rights reserved.)

The path and timing of Lorena’s movement will be vital to this forecast, however, we are becoming increasingly confident that rain will be a good bet, mainly during the second half of the weekend. Sunday afternoon/evening brings the highest rain chance.

Here's what you need to know for the next rain event (Copyright 2025 by KSAT - All rights reserved.)

Where will the heaviest rain fall? That’s still to be determined. There will likely be some bullseyes, potentially more than 5″. Expect flooding in these areas.

Please check back as we’ll continue to update this forecast.

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