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La Nina to take over, indicating a drier winter ahead

La Nina is back, yet again

FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS

  • NO FRONT IN SIGHT: Continued warm through at least next weekend
  • LA NINA WINTER: Means odds favor a drier than average winter

FORECAST

In the short-term, there’s just not much to say. We are STUCK. That said, a few stray showers popped up this afternoon including 0.5″ in China Grove estimated by doppler radar, but that was the exception.

HOT, SMALL RAIN CHANCE THIS WEEKEND

This is the time of the year, we begin to watch for cold fronts. Unfortunately, for now, there are none in sight. This means we’ll see continued warm weather. The pattern changes enough to provide a few rain chances Friday through the weekend, but as of now, the odds are 20%-30%.

20%-30% chance of rain Friday through the weekend. (Copyright 2024 by KSAT - All rights reserved.)

LA NINA WINTER

NOAA is now predicting that’ll we see La Nina kick in within the next few months. What does that mean? History tells us that we’ll see a drier-than-average winter. We dealt with La Nina winters from 2021 through 2023. Last year’s winter was the only one that leaned towards El Nino since 2019. It also calls for warmer-than-average conditions. HOWEVER, that is an average over a full winter. Keep in mind that during recent La Nina years, we’ve seen some serious cold snaps. They can and will happen.

La Nina winters trend drier and warmer on average, however, strong cold snaps are still possible. (Copyright KSAT-12 2025 - All Rights Reserved)

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