HURRICANES
VIDEO FORECAST
TROPICS WATCH
Atlantic
For the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.
Posted 3 weeks ago by NHC Forecaster Forecaster Bucci
Special Features
Central Atlantic Significant Swell: A cold front extends from 31N48W to 27N67W. Large NW swell behind the front is producing 12 to 15 ft seas north of 28N between 47W and 63W. A reinforcing set of large NW swell will move into the northern waters tonight to maintain the area of rough to very rough seas.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more information.
Monsoon Trough/ITCZ
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 09N13W to 05N18W. The ITCZ continues from 05N18W to 05N52W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 00N to 05N and E of 40W.
Gulf Of America
High pressure prevails across the Gulf waters, anchored by a 1018 mb high centered over the NE Gulf. Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity of the high, with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere. Seas are in the slight range across the basin.
For the forecast, weak pressure gradient will continue to support gentle to moderate E to SE winds and slight to moderate seas across the Gulf through late Sun. The next cold front is expected to enter the northwest Gulf early Mon, followed by fresh to strong northerly winds and rough seas, except gale conditions will be possible in the far west central and southwest Gulf by Mon night. Looking ahead, winds and seas will diminish across the basin through mid week as high pressure builds over the region following the front.
Caribbean Sea
The pressure gradient between strong high pressure across the western Atlantic and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds and rough seas over the south central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, little change in the weather regime is expected over the next 5 days.
Atlantic Ocean
See the Special Features section above for details on the ongoing significant swell.
A cold front extends from 31N46W to 26N60W, then becomes stationary to 28N70W. Scattered moderate convection is N of 26N within 60 nm of the front. Fresh to strong winds are also within 60 nm of the front. Moderate to fresh winds prevail N of the front. Aside from the very rough seas discussed above, rough seas cover the waters N of 27N between 60W and 75W. Rough seas are found S of 10N between 34W and 44W. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker, with moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will move east of the area through early Sun. Another cold front will move into the waters between northeast Florida and Bermuda by late today, and move to the east of the area by early Mon, leaving a trailing stationary front to dissipate along 21N. Strong winds and additional large N swell follow this front across waters east of 70W into early next week. A third cold front will move off the northeast Florida coast Mon night, and will reach from Bermuda to Jupiter Inlet, Florida by late Tue, and from 31N60W to central Cuba by late Wed.
Posted 1 hour, 23 minutes ago by NHC Forecaster Era
